Evaluation of subseasonal to seasonal forecasts over  India for renewable energy applications

Das, Aheli; Baidya Roy, Somnath

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/adgeo-56-89-2021

Articles | Volume 56

https://doi.org/10.5194/adgeo-56-89-2021

© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/adgeo-56-89-2021

© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 56

03 Nov 2021

| 03 Nov 2021

Evaluation of subseasonal to seasonal forecasts over India for renewable energy applications

Aheli Das and Somnath Baidya Roy

Data sets

ERA5 monthly averaged data on single levels from 1979 to present H. Hersbach, B. Bell, P. Berrisford, G. Biavati, A. Horányi, J. Muñoz Sabater, J. Nicolas, C. Peubey, R. Radu, I. Rozum, D. Schepers, A. Simmons, C. Soci, D. Dee, and J.-N. Thépaut https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.f17050d7

Short summary

In this study we evaluated subseasonal-seasonal scale forecasts of solar radiation, wind speed, temperature and relative humidity over India from 6 global models by comparing against observations. Results show that the overall quality of the forecasts are not good. However, they demonstrate enough skill suggesting that further improvement through calibration may make then useful for the renewable energy sector.