Analysis of projected drought hazards for Hungary

Abstract. Global climate change may result in severe regional consequences affecting agricultural production potential. One of the essential climatic impacts is associated with drought conditions. Therefore, projected future changes of several drought indices are analyzed for the future period 2071–2100 (compared to 1961–1990, as a reference period) using three different global emission scenarios (A2, A1B, and B2). The monthly time series of the indices have been calculated from the simulation outputs of the regional climate model PRECIS (Providing REgional Climates for Impacts Studies) for Central/Eastern Europe with 25 km horizontal resolution accomplished by the Department of Meteorology, Eötvös Loránd University. According to the results significant drying is projected in the region, especially in summer.